Both are a little north of one million. Of those, around 400,000 are deaths. (For the Ukrainians, both are a little lower, so far.)

Most observers thought the Russians would overrun Kyiv in weeks. But they’ve now been at war in Ukraine longer – four years – than America was at war in WWII. And there’s no end in sight. Recent Russian advances are measured not in kilometers, but meters.

Russian troop morale is as bad as you would expect. Nobody goes to Eastern Europe for outdoor winter camping where your tentmate sleeping next to you sometimes gets blown to bits.

The toll on the Russian economy has been brutal. GDP is flat or contracting. Apart from oil, Russia is incapable of producing anything the world wants.

After finally deciding communism wasn’t according to Russia’s needs (apologies to Karl Marx), they replaced it with fascism – the real kind, not the kind that loony Democrats accuse Republicans of. Communism is gone, but the atheistic, alcoholic corruption it taught to Russian society over the course of 70 years remains.

Russia can’t even export terror anymore. They ignored their ally Venezuela last month, left Iran and Syria high and dry last summer, and bid adios to Cuba a generation ago.

The Soviet Union had “client states” that did its bidding. Now, Russia itself is a client state, of China.  

Russia does still have a nuclear arsenal. But so do other third-rate nations, including Pakistan (thanks, Bill Clinton!) and North Korea (thanks, W!). In any event, Russian military ineptitude in Ukraine leaves me wondering whether they could launch a nuke past their own borders or might instead accidentally drop it on St. Petersburg.  

Strategically, the war has been even worse, if that’s possible. It drove Finland and Sweden into NATO. It finally awakened Western Europe to the danger of the Russian bear, even if it’s largely toothless now, and prompted them to increase defense expenditures – doubling them in some cases.

The distance between Berlin and Kyiv is 750 miles, after all, which is less than the distance between Denver and Chicago.

And then there’s those pesky casualties. Vladimir Putin probably doesn’t care about the deaths and injuries to his soldiers, other than in the sense that each casualty reduces his fighting force and therefore reduces the potency of his military (which he might eventually need for the purpose of keeping his own people subdued).

But the war has to be a little embarrassing for him. This is a former KGB spook who likes to be photographed shirtless on horseback. His macho motif is disrupted by dismembered soldiers and wailing mothers.

So, what will happen? Ukrainian equipment will continue to be better than Russian equipment so long as NATO supplies it. Russian troops seem no better than Ukrainian troops, and a lot less motivated.

In sheer numbers of troops, however, Russia has the advantage. They have a near-endless supply of hapless, helpless, atheistic, alcoholic youngsters, some of them convicts, to use as drone fodder.

But it could take years for that numerical advantage to play out. This war might not even be half over. The war could outlast Putin.

Meanwhile, Russia is not a player in the rest of the world. That much is good.