Here’s some contraband, some non-fake news. If you repeat it, you might get face-masked. If you’re a nail salon owner trying to feed your family, you might get thrown in jail. I assume it will be banned from Facemaskbook.
Here it is. The virus numbers are dropping. In hard-hit Italy and Spain, the numbers peaked around the end of March – over five weeks ago. Both daily new cases and daily deaths are now down over 70%, as shown in these graphs.
Given these trends, Europe is starting to re-open. That’s good news that you don’t hear much in American media.
Moreover, Europe’s re-opening is not spiking the numbers. You’re likely not to find that fact in an American news story at all, but only by reviewing the raw numbers for yourself such as through the links above.
Here in America, we delayed the pandemic and flattened the curve by restricting travel from China and Europe. (At the time, recall, the Administration was called racist and xenophobic for doing that, while the name-callers were urging block parties in San Francisco and New York.)
But now America, too, is past the peak of the virus. Daily new cases have plateaued over the last month, and would almost certainly be much lower if not for increased testing. And daily deaths are mostly down, and would be down more if not for the move to include “probable” virus deaths.
Notably, a 50-mile radius around New York City accounts for the bulk of the US numbers. The authorities there have greatly loosened the criteria for reporting a death in that area as a “probable” virus death. That has the effect of keeping the death toll up.
In areas where the criteria have been more constant, the numbers have mostly gone down, often dramatically. Here’s the graph for my state, Colorado. (Note, however, that the numbers for the last week shown in the graph are probably not as low as depicted, because the state sometimes takes a few days to process reports.)
You wouldn’t know all this if your source of news is ordinary, formerly-respected media outlets. Although it’s not hard to find, they simply don’t report it.
As even liberal political analyst Nate Silver has noted, what they report instead is usually not untrue, but is misleading. They report the bad days but not the good ones. And they report the death tolls in cumulative format. Consequently, every day sets a new death record which they trumpet almost gleefully.
This misleading reporting is particularly evident in their graphs. Rather than presenting the graphs above showing daily deaths over time, they present cumulative graphs showing all the deaths so far, like this one with accompanying text implying that it shows no “peaking” and subsequent decline.
But to show a peaking and subsequent decline in a cumulative graph, dead people would have to come back to life. If that somehow did happen, I suspect the doomsday media wouldn’t report that either.
In lieu of news, sometimes the media present inflammatory but meaningless comparisons. Such as the point that more Americans have died of the virus (or at least with the virus) than died in the Vietnam War.
That’s true. But it’s also true that the number of Americans who died in the Vietnam War or of the virus is sometimes surpassed in one American flu season, or in two years of highway deaths.
This is all for the purpose of promoting a false narrative that things are bad and getting worse. The opinion pages of the newspapers, and the news pages too, are full of opinions from non-scientists and non-physicians saying we must therefore keep the country closed. Maybe forever.
But these “closers” are not only ignorant about the science and medicine. They also seem ignorant, perhaps willfully, of the positive experience with re-openings in harder-hit Europe.
The closers seem particularly bugged by people attending church services, even drive-in ones where they stay in their cars. Worshipping God rather than, say, Gaia or Socialism or Big Government, is a barbaric practice in their view, and a dangerous one that threatens their authority. The virus has finally enabled them to outlaw it.
As for their make-weight argument that the lockdown saves lives, there’s little concrete evidence of that. It also fails to account for many lives lost because critical surgeries are being postponed in order to keep hospitals empty and waiting for an onslaught of virus patients – an onslaught that never came.
In any event, elderly and infirm people who account for 80-90% of the virus deaths are mostly self-isolated anyway (except in New York, where Governor Cuomo weirdly and disastrously ordered nursing homes to take in virus patients).
Michael Levitt, a Stanford biology professor who won the Nobel Prize and knows considerably more about medicine than a typical journo, stated, “There is no doubt in my mind that when we come to look back on this, the damage done by the lockdown will exceed any saving of lives by a huge factor.”
By the way, here’s a dog-that-didn’t-bark piece of evidence. Why aren’t vagrants – er, I mean the housing impaired – dropping like flies? And what are the implications of that in managing the disease for the rest of us?
So here we are. The American media in 2020 shamelessly propagandize much like the 1943 American media in the middle of WWII. The difference is that the American media in 1943 were on the side of America.
Why are the media trying to prevent the country from going back to work? I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt and assume that the reason is not merely because they personally don’t like work. Rather, the reason is the upcoming election. They assume that a country in lockdown pain won’t reelect the incumbent president, whom they hate. But the election is still a half year away, and by then the virus will be nearly gone.
So what’s the next story from the incompetent partisan hacks formerly known as journalists? Asian murder hornets that are all Trump’s fault?