The polls are wrong again, and this time we have advance evidence beyond Trump’s say-so.
Polling has always been an inexact science, and now it’s harder than ever. It’s hard to get a representative sampling of actual voters by making random telephone calls to people whose willingness to participate and trust of media pollsters are skewed politically.
Look at an example separate from the presidential race. In Maine, four-term Senator Susan Collins is up for re-election for her fifth term. In her last two elections, she won by 23 and 37-point margins. Yet polls show her behind this time by about 5 points.
Those polls cannot be right. She’ll win by at least 4 points, suggesting a huge error in the polls – an error of at least 9 points.
Other factors are uniquely Trumpian. First, Trump’s approval ratings are higher than his polling numbers. If both are accurate, then many people who approve of his job performance nonetheless want to fire him.
It’s probably the polling number that’s wrong. Many people who plan to vote for Trump won’t say so because they’ve been intimidated by Trump-haters.
The reason Trump’s approval ratings are fairly high is that people generally like his policies – on immigration, foreign affairs, energy, the economy and other traditionally important matters.
Justice Amy Coney Barrett is another factor. By the time her confirmation hearings were over, a majority of Americans thought she should be confirmed. The people’s support for Barrett is a proxy, albeit an inexact one, for their support for the man who nominated her.
Enthusiasm for that man is very high. In the midst of a pandemic, thousands still come to see and hear Trump. In contrast, so few people show up at Joe Biden’s campaign rallies that he’s nearly stopped doing them.
Biden can’t remember where he is, what he’s running for or the name of his opponent. He loses track of which woman is his sister, which woman is his wife and which woman is the 13-year-old he’s supposed to keep his hands off. When he walks onto a stage, he literally dodders.
And everyone knows that his replacement would be the person rated the most leftist in the United States Senate – more left than Bernie Sanders.
Unlike Hillary, Biden cannot credibly warn that Trump is a nutcase who will push the Red Button to annihilate the world. Trump has been president for nearly four years and the world is more peaceful than it’s been in decades. The man has been nominated four times for the Nobel Peace Prize. Trump has shown he’s not a violent nut, while Biden has shown he is cognitively impaired.
Speaking of violent nuts, the media initially gave a lot of coverage to the “mostly peaceful protests” because they thought they hurt Trump. Then they figured out that people not only don’t like riots, they also don’t like rioters – and nearly all the rioters are Democrats. So the media cut back on their riot coverage.
But there are still riots, people know that, and people know that the rioters are Democrats.
Contrary to conventional Democrat “wisdom,” minorities don’t like the riots any more than the rest of America does – maybe even less since the riots are often in minority neighborhoods. And they, too, know that the rioters – many of whom are privileged whites – are Democrats. Many this time plan to vote against these rioters and their Democrat sympathizers.
Finally, Biden is now scandalized. His family has been clumsily trading political influence for hard cash from foreign governments. Emails proven authentic suggest that Joe himself was taking a cut, which would explain how he bought opulent houses on a life-long government salary.
You can be sure that China and Russia have all those emails and more.
This scandal has stuck to Biden like the wet booger that’s his son, even though – and to some extent because – Biden has refused to discuss it or even specifically deny it and the malfeasant media has refused to cover it. People don’t like a coverup, they don’t like stonewalling, they don’t like media fixes and they don’t like wet boogers.
So the polls are wrong again, and Trump will win again. Then what?
We’ll have more “mostly peaceful protests,” that’s what. The mostly peaceful protesters will loot stores, burn cities, assault cops and murder bystanders, all in the name of defeating Trump’s ever-impending authoritarianism by collecting as much free stuff as they can carry out of Target.
The leftist media will again encourage the rioters. But, thankfully, decent people including most Biden voters will condemn them. America will survive. Many media outlets will not, and that’s good.
The riots will soon fade. After all, if these rioting losers were able to exert hard effort for prolonged periods, they wouldn’t be rioting losers. The stock market will recover. The Democrats will retain the House, and the GOP will retain the Senate. Next year Trump will nominate his fourth Supreme Court justice and, before he’s done, he’ll nominate his fifth. Once a year, he’ll be impeached by the House and acquitted by the Senate.
It’ll be a return to what passes for normalcy in Washington.
But the damage to the Democratic Party for its flirtation with violent Marxism via an empty senile suit controlled by anti-American socialist puppeteers and foreign governments with Kompromat will last for years. It will splinter the party and weaken our nation.
The schadenfreude will almost make the damage worthwhile. Almost, but not quite.